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2024-12-13 11:35:17

Today, the trend of A-shares stands out as a stable word, and individual stocks generally rise, which may be the best situation. However, the A-share market can't always go up without going down. Today, the Hang Seng Index dives frequently, while the Hong Kong stocks at the end of the market continue to dive, while A-shares and A50 futures index rise in the opposite direction, with serious differentiation, indicating that the pressure on all parties is still relatively large.We can't ignore the degree of connection between these three indexes. The short-term differentiation doesn't mean that we have to break the connection. If the main A-shares don't support the market today, A-shares will plummet, so that the main ones will not be able to ship for the New Year. This is not for retail investors, but for themselves.This chart contains the situation of A-share trading volume since the 924 market. On October 8, the volume was the largest, which was the largest in history. On November 8, it was greatly reduced, and it was reduced again on December 10. Today, the volume is still shrinking, which still belongs to the trend of ship pulled. Everyone should pay attention to this time interval. Since October 8, there will be a rebound every other day, November 8, December 10 and December.


First, the three sisters of A shares are divided today, which is worrying.Figure ii


My prediction yesterday was wrong: there will be a compensatory decline trend in the A-share market tomorrow, and we can observe the support level around 3380 points. If this position is supported, the market will be a slow decline trend, and if it is not, it will be a rapid decline trend.After 2 pm, the A50 futures index began to rebound, and the A-share market also rebounded immediately. If we look closely, the A50 futures index rose sharply the day before yesterday, and there was no heavy volume. Yesterday's sharp drop released a huge amount, which shows that these overseas indexes are still quite satisfactory. Unlimited increase and volume decrease are clearly ship pulled, and A shares are no exception.Personally, I judge that after adjustment, the main funds will still be a bull trap at the end of the year, and this rebound high point will probably appear on December 30 and 31. This is because the main funds will use holidays, cooperate through the disk, and some of them will be higher, mainly foreign capital, increase publicity and give off-site funds a tour, which is in line with my judgment. In the past two years, the main A-share companies have always borrowed weekends, holidays and other closed days. Look at the picture below:

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